Tuesday, January 5, 2010

The balance of political power in Serbia today




Belgrade, Dec. 29, 2009 (Serbia Today) – After recent local elections in the municipality of Vozdovac, which the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) won, there is much speculation in the Serbian media about the balance of political power today and in 2010 after potential general elections.
Belgrade’s daily “Press” published yesterday the results of a survey by an unnamed research agency indicating that 60% of the 1100 participants selected from all segments of Serbian society said EU visa liberalization would not influence which party they would vote for in the potential general elections.
According to the research the Democratic Party of President Boris Tadic now in power still has the majority of support from Serbian voters with 31, 4 %. Second is the Serbian Progressive Party run by Tomislav Nikolic with 30,6 %. The Serbian Radical Party improved its position with 9.2 % of the votes. All the other parties have 7% or less of the votes, putting them very close to the “census” line, below which they can not get any seats in the Parliament.
The last general elections proved that the influence of the smaller parties can not be undermined. Any of the winners in the potential general elections would have to look for coalition partners in order to secure a ruling majority. Yet it must be asked who would benefit from a public opinion survey that is anonymous. On a practical level these results could benefit only the ruling Democratic Party, since the percentages gained or lost by the other parties were expected anyway. What remains unclear is the extent of real support for the Democratic Party today among Serbian voters.

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